tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Newark via Portland: arrives on time 80%

  1. 19:22 SEA → 20:17 PDX
    AS 2372 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:31 PDX → 05:59 EWR +1 day
    AS 1631 · Alaska · 5h 28m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 37mSEA 19:22 to EWR 05:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.