tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Redmond → Los Angeles via Seattle: arrives on time 52%

  1. 13:48 RDM → 14:59 SEA
    AS 2400 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 11m · 71% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:59 SEA → 18:44 LAX
    AS 1300 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 77% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 56mRDM 13:48 to LAX 18:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.