tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Redmond → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 44%

  1. 13:48 RDM → 14:59 SEA
    AS 2400 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 11m · 71% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 SEA → 16:55 PDX
    AS 686 · Alaska · 1h 00m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip3h 07mRDM 13:48 to PDX 16:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.