tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Eugene via San Diego: arrives on time 44%

  1. 16:43 SMF → 18:20 SAN
    AS 2406 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 37m · 62% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:16 SAN → 21:46 EUG
    AS 3319 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 78% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 03mSMF 16:43 to EUG 21:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.