tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Santa Rosa via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:19 PDX → 08:20 SEA
    AS 2420 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 01m · 98% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:54 SEA → 11:58 STS
    AS 1321 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 83% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 39mPDX 07:19 to STS 11:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.