tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:19 PDX → 08:20 SEA
    AS 2420 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 01m · 98% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:53 SEA → 12:44 FAI
    AS 1552 · Alaska · 3h 51m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 1 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 25mPDX 07:19 to FAI 12:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.