tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:19 PDX → 08:20 SEA
    AS 2420 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 01m · 98% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:42 SEA → 14:04 SFO
    AS 655 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 45mPDX 07:19 to SFO 14:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.