tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Reno via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:19 PDX → 08:20 SEA
    AS 2420 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 01m · 98% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 SEA → 11:03 RNO
    AS 3079 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 53m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip3h 44mPDX 07:19 to RNO 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.