tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Washington via Seattle: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:00 PDX → 05:53 SEA
    AS 2431 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 53m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 SEA → 16:16 DCA
    AS 4 · Alaska · 5h 16m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 16mPDX 05:00 to DCA 16:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.