tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Santa Barbara via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:00 PDX → 05:53 SEA
    AS 2431 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 53m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 SEA → 10:14 SBA
    AS 2142 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 34m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 14mPDX 05:00 to SBA 10:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.