tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Barbara via Portland: arrives on time 89%

  1. 06:42 SEA → 07:37 PDX
    AS 2432 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 55m · 98% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:47 PDX → 13:05 SBA
    AS 2317 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 18m · 93% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip6h 23mSEA 06:42 to SBA 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.