tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 63%

  1. 08:00 PAE → 10:53 SAN
    AS 2437 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 53m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:46 SAN → 14:16 PHX
    AA 2477 · American · 1h 30m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 16mPAE 08:00 to PHX 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.