tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Everett → Phoenix via San Diego: arrives on time 50%

  1. 08:00 PAE → 10:53 SAN
    AS 2437 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 53m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:09 SAN → 14:31 PHX
    AS 2024 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 22m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 31mPAE 08:00 to PHX 14:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.