tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 51%

  1. 05:58 MFR → 07:20 SEA
    AS 2452 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 22m · 92% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:53 SEA → 11:09 SFO
    AS 528 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 54% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 11mMFR 05:58 to SFO 11:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.