tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 05:58 MFR → 07:20 SEA
    AS 2452 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 22m · 92% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:59 SEA → 13:01 PHX
    AS 593 · Alaska · 3h 02m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 03mMFR 05:58 to PHX 13:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.