tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Santa Rosa via Portland: arrives on time 87%

  1. 17:32 ONT → 19:49 PDX
    AS 2456 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 17m · 93% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 PDX → 23:30 STS
    AS 3115 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 58mONT 17:32 to STS 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.