tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → San Francisco via Portland: arrives on time 61%

  1. 17:32 ONT → 19:49 PDX
    AS 2456 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 17m · 93% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 PDX → 23:36 SFO
    AS 2112 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 51m · 64% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 04mONT 17:32 to SFO 23:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.