tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → San Diego via Las Vegas: arrives on time 22%

  1. 13:06 STS → 14:44 LAS
    AS 2459 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 38m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:19 LAS → 19:36 SAN
    AS 2251 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 17m · 24% on time, 9.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (9.8% are) and within 15 minutes (24%).
Total trip6h 30mSTS 13:06 to SAN 19:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.