tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pasco → San Francisco via Portland: arrives on time 23%

  1. 15:59 PSC → 16:50 PDX
    AS 2471 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 51m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:36 PDX → 19:30 SFO
    AS 504 · Alaska · 1h 54m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip3h 31mPSC 15:59 to SFO 19:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.