tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pasco → Salt Lake City via Portland: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:59 PSC → 16:50 PDX
    AS 2471 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 51m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:40 PDX → 20:41 SLC
    AS 3291 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 81% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h ahead of Pasco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip3h 42mPSC 15:59 to SLC 20:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.