Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Tampa → Louisville via Chicago: arrives on time 58%
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16:30 TPA → 18:40 ORDUA 1010 · United · 3h 10m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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2h 45m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:25 ORD → 23:59 SDFUA 3659 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 73% on time, 11.1% cancelled
Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 29mTPA 16:30 to SDF 23:59, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.