tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:23 ATL
    UA 1012 · United · 2h 23m · 92% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:17 ATL → 13:16 TYS
    DL 4724 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 02m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 54m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 19mEWR 06:00 to TYS 13:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.