tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:23 ATL
    UA 1012 · United · 2h 23m · 92% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:30 ATL → 11:53 SDF
    DL 1481 · Delta · 1h 23m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 53mEWR 06:00 to SDF 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.