tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:23 ATL
    UA 1012 · United · 2h 23m · 92% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:14 ATL → 12:44 RDU
    DL 1488 · Delta · 1h 30m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 44mEWR 06:00 to RDU 12:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.