tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Knoxville via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:23 ATL
    UA 1012 · United · 2h 23m · 92% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:05 ATL → 11:09 TYS
    DL 1743 · Delta · 1h 04m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 09mEWR 06:00 to TYS 11:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.