tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Richmond via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:23 ATL
    UA 1012 · United · 2h 23m · 92% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:15 ATL → 11:56 RIC
    DL 2650 · Delta · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 56mEWR 06:00 to RIC 11:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.