tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Norfolk via Atlanta: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:23 ATL
    UA 1012 · United · 2h 23m · 92% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:47 ORF
    DL 2925 · Delta · 1h 42m · 83% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 52mEWR 06:00 to ORF 12:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.