tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Rapid City via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 15:01 DEN → 18:46 ORD
    UA 1023 · United · 2h 45m · 61% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 23:16 RAP
    UA 5331 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 46m · 66% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 15mDEN 15:01 to RAP 23:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.