tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Las Vegas via Newark: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:05 TPA → 09:56 EWR
    UA 1041 · United · 2h 51m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:54 EWR → 13:21 LAS
    UA 446 · United · 5h 27m · 82% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 16mTPA 07:05 to LAS 13:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.