tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:04 IAH → 07:59 ORD
    UA 1044 · United · 2h 55m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:45 ORD → 13:27 MSP
    AA 3719 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 42m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 23mIAH 05:04 to MSP 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.