tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 91%

  1. 10:30 ORD → 13:09 LAX
    UA 1044 · United · 4h 39m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 LAX → 18:06 SMF
    UA 5858 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 36mORD 10:30 to SMF 18:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.