tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Asheville via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:10 LGA → 10:56 ORD
    UA 1057 · United · 2h 46m · 84% on time, 7.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:55 ORD → 16:58 AVL
    UA 5573 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (7.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 48mLGA 09:10 to AVL 16:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.