tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Dayton via Dulles: arrives on time 78%

  1. 08:00 DEN → 13:26 IAD
    UA 1101 · United · 3h 26m · 94% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 IAD → 19:01 DAY
    UA 4274 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 46m · 80% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 184 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 01mDEN 08:00 to DAY 19:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.