tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Dulles via Newark: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:30 MCO → 09:15 EWR
    UA 1105 · United · 2h 45m · 95% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 EWR → 11:28 IAD
    UA 1691 · United · 1h 23m · 72% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 58mMCO 06:30 to IAD 11:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.