tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Birmingham via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:39 BNA → 20:38 ORD
    UA 1127 · United · 1h 59m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 23:34 BHM
    UA 4447 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 04m · 79% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 55mBNA 18:39 to BHM 23:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.