tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Houston: arrives on time 52%

  1. 10:07 DEN → 13:40 IAH
    UA 1129 · United · 2h 33m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:32 IAH → 16:15 XNA
    UA 4062 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 43m · 86% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 08mDEN 10:07 to XNA 16:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.