tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dallas via Las Vegas: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 08:54 LAS
    UA 1139 · United · 5h 24m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:38 LAS → 15:25 DAL
    WN 2218 · Southwest · 2h 48m · 84% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 56mEWR 06:30 to DAL 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.