tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 08:54 LAS
    UA 1139 · United · 5h 24m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:30 LAS → 13:50 PHX
    WN 2311 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 20mEWR 06:30 to PHX 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.