tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 08:54 LAS
    UA 1139 · United · 5h 24m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:25 LAS → 13:00 SMF
    WN 4532 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 30mEWR 06:30 to SMF 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.