tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 64%

  1. 12:12 ANC → 19:29 DEN
    UA 1153 · United · 5h 17m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DEN → 21:59 PHX
    UA 1236 · United · 2h 00m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 47mANC 12:12 to PHX 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.