Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Milwaukee via Chicago: arrives on time 43%
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16:25 LGA → 18:17 ORDUA 1156 · United · 2h 52m · 53% on time, 5.6% cancelled
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1h 28m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:45 ORD → 20:56 MKEUA 4711 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 11m · 70% on time, 5.8% cancelled
Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 31mLGA 16:25 to MKE 20:56, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.