Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 34%
-
16:25 LGA → 18:17 ORDUA 1156 · United · 2h 52m · 53% on time, 5.6% cancelled
-
1h 40m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
-
19:57 ORD → 21:45 BNAUA 2063 · United · 1h 48m · 51% on time, 5.6% cancelled
Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 20mLGA 16:25 to BNA 21:45, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.