Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Orlando via Newark: arrives on time 45%
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11:40 PHX → 19:35 EWRUA 1190 · United · 4h 55m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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55m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:30 EWR → 23:32 MCOUA 1190 · United · 3h 02m · 73% on time, 4.5% cancelled
Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 52mPHX 11:40 to MCO 23:32, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.