Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Birmingham via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 19:10 DCA → 20:32 ORD
    UA 1193 · United · 2h 22m · 58% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 23:34 BHM
    UA 4447 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 04m · 79% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 24mDCA 19:10 to BHM 23:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.