Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Washington → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 27%
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19:10 DCA → 20:32 ORDUA 1193 · United · 2h 22m · 58% on time, 4.8% cancelled
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58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:30 ORD → 23:31 XNAUA 5767 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 62% on time, 16.1% cancelled
Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (16.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 21mDCA 19:10 to XNA 23:31, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.