Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Washington → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 18%
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19:10 DCA → 20:32 ORDUA 1193 · United · 2h 22m · 58% on time, 4.8% cancelled
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48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:20 ORD → 23:52 CVGUA 2148 · United · 1h 32m · 52% on time, 5.9% cancelled
Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 42mDCA 19:10 to CVG 23:52, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.