Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 27%

  1. 19:10 DCA → 20:32 ORD
    UA 1193 · United · 2h 22m · 58% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:54 DTW
    UA 3475 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 34m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 44mDCA 19:10 to DTW 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.