tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Kansas City via Denver: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:12 EWR → 19:45 DEN
    UA 1197 · United · 4h 33m · 71% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 DEN → 23:25 MCI
    UA 1596 · United · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 13mEWR 17:12 to MCI 23:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.