tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Minneapolis via Denver: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:12 EWR → 19:45 DEN
    UA 1197 · United · 4h 33m · 71% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 DEN → 23:59 MSP
    UA 667 · United · 2h 05m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 47mEWR 17:12 to MSP 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.