tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Houston: arrives on time 76%

  1. 07:35 ORD → 10:36 IAH
    UA 1231 · United · 3h 01m · 91% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:20 IAH → 15:25 ELP
    UA 4275 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 2h 05m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 179 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 50mORD 07:35 to ELP 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.